Zhoushan Putuo 2

Status
Under Constructionlifecycle stage
DeliveringHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
CHCHN Energy — 100% ◇
Location
China
East China Sea
Technology
Capacity 408 MW ◇ Turbines 34 × 12 MW ◇ Foundation Fixed-bottom (structure not recorded) ◇
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held ∴ Water depth 8–19 m ≈ Wind speed 8.7 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake —
Grid —
Schedule
FID Taken · date not recorded ∴
COD · Hafrok 2027 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2027
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈97% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. Technical complexity and no offtake contract yet pull this one slightly below that.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2026: 12.6% (conditional on completion) 2027: 46.8% (conditional on completion) 2028: 28.2% (conditional on completion) 2029: 9.3% (conditional on completion) 2030: 2.5% (conditional on completion) 2031: 0.7% (conditional on completion)2026now202747%EXPECTED2028202920302031
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
202612.6%
2027 (expected)46.8%
202828.2%
20299.3%
20302.5%
20310.7%
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2025. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2026 Q3; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2025 Q4, the slower quarter not until 2027 Q3.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2027, likely range 2026–2028 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The typical build time from the construction start is used.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈97%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline verified milestones only — each date carries its provenance mark

2025’26’27View the sources for Construction startConstruction start Mar 2025 ◇Commercial operation 2027 ·Hafrok expected
Dashed tick marks today (13 Oct 2026).

Revenue & offtake the regime the project was built under

Offtake regime not on record
A built project sells its power under the contract or support regime it was financed with; it is not expected to bid into new government offtake rounds. Where the record does not yet name that regime, the row says so rather than guessing.

Installation how the build is going · from sourced statements and Hafrok’s registers

Installation under way
Installation · on record
StageUnder Construction
Offshore constructionstarted
Turbinesnot reportedshown when the developer reports a dated count
Expected start of operationnot stated

Sources & verification

Rests on 5 sources · ◆ 3 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Trade press5
[1]
Global Energy Monitor2026◆ Zhejiang Zhoushan Putuo 2 Offshore wind …
supportsownerConsentFinal investment decisionConstruction startSite rights+3 more
[2]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[3]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
[4]
Global Energy Monitor◆ Global Wind Power Tracker Methodology
“Offshore hard mount: have wind turbines that are usually designed for installation in water no deeper than 60 meters [...] These turbines are mounted directly onto the sea floor. Offshore floating: ar…”
supportsFoundation
[5]
国际风能网 (ewindpower.cn)2026-06-11◆ 4.54亿收回剩余股权!浙江新能全资控股舟山普陀2# 408MW海上风电项目
Copyrighted source — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsConstruction startSite rightsTurbinesUnit capacityTotal capacity