N-6.7 (Waterkant)

90 km from Borkum. Initially partnered with Ming Yang for 16x 18.5 MW turbines, switched to Siemens Gamesa for economic efficiency and supply chain reasons.

Status
Early Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
LULuxcara — 100% ◇
Location
Germany
North Sea
Technology
Capacity 300 MW ◆
Turbines —
Foundation —
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held ∴
Origination BNetzA Offshore Wind Auction 2023 (central model, qualitative) · 2023 ·
Water depth 39–41 m ≈ Distance from shore 90 km ◇ Wind speed 10.3 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake Merchant ◆ Grid Not recorded ◆ Connection Grid connection via TenneT planned for end of 2028. ◆
Schedule
FID Not taken
COD · announced 2028 ◆
COD · Hafrok 2034 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2034
expected year of commercial operation
The developer says 2028; Hafrok expects 2034 — 6 years later.
Chance of delivery
≈66% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Early Development projects complete ≈61% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract puts this one well above that; technical complexity weighs only slightly against it.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2033: 14.2% (conditional on completion) 2034: 30.5% (conditional on completion) 2035: 24.0% (conditional on completion) 2036: 14.4% (conditional on completion) 2037: 8.0% (conditional on completion) 2038: 4.4% (conditional on completion) 2039: 2.4% (conditional on completion) 2040: 1.3% (conditional on completion) 2041: 0.8% (conditional on completion)2026now202820302032203430%EXPECTED203620382040 Developer-announced COD: 2028 ANNOUNCED 2028
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
203314.2%
2034 (expected)30.5%
203524.0%
203614.4%
20378.0%
20384.4%
20392.4%
20401.3%
20410.8%
How Hafrok got this date
1
No dated milestone yet
Nothing is consented or financed with a date, so the estimate starts from today (2026), adds the time similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took from consent to operation, plus an allowance for obtaining consent.
2
Earliest credible date
Typical consent-to-operation time plus allowances means commercial operation before 2034 is not credible.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2034, likely range 2034–2042 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). With no milestone to build from, the earliest credible date is the estimate, with a deliberately wide range.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Early Development projects that went on to complete — ≈61%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). About three in four early-stage projects with a final outcome went on to operate — a record from an easier era. Most of today's early pipeline is still unresolved, so the estimate discounts it. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈66%, which rates it Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2024’25’26’27’28’29’30’31’32’33’34Developer-announced COD: 2028 announced COD 2028BNetzA Offshore Wind Auction 2023 (central model, qualitative) — awarded to Waterkant Energy GmbHBNetzA Offshore Wind Auction 2023 (central model, qualitative) Aug 2023 · auction recordCommercial operation 2034 ·Hafrok expectedBNetzA Offshore Wind Auction 2023 (central model, qualitative) — awarded to Waterkant Energy GmbH 2023-08 ORIGINATIONTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDTODAYWaterkant Energy GmbH Waterkant Energy GmbH Waterkant Energy GmbH not among today’s recorded owners — no sale recordedLuxcara — 100% today Luxcara Luxcara 100%BNetzA Offshore Wind Auction 2023 (central model, qualitative) — awarded to Waterkant Energy GmbH Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed.
Dashed tick marks today (13 Oct 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.

Revenue & offtake route to market — open

No offtake secured — route to market open

Zero-subsidy BNetzA auction (August 2023); no offtake contract exists. ◇

The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
Germany offshore tender — 2027 (FEP cluster) ◇
expected 2027 · planned · the round’s published documents do not name this project
indicative

Installation how the build is going · from sourced statements and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
Installation · on record
StageEarly Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2028

Sources & verification

Rests on 11 sources (2 primary) · ◆ 3 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator2
[2]
Bundesnetzagentur2023-08-10◆ Bundesnetzagentur - Presse - Ergebnisse …
“Dabei wurden neben der Bereitschaft, für die jeweilige Fläche eine Geldzahlung in Euro zu leisten, auch Kriterien wie die Dekarbonisierung des Offshore -Ausbaus und der Einsatz umweltschonender Gründu…”
supportsMechanismDetailOfftake history
[5]
Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie (BSH)2023-01-05◆ BSH - N-6.7
“Stand des Verfahrens Die BNetzA hat die Ausschreibung für die Fläche N-6.7 am 27. Februar 2023 bekannt gemacht. [...] Mit Rechtsverordnung vom 5. Januar 2023 wurde die Eignung der Flächen N-6.6 und N-…”
supportsConsent
Operator4
[3]
Luxcara2023-08
“Waterkant Energy [won] site N-6.7 … 270 MW offshore wind farm in the German North Sea … The project can be connected to the national transmission grid as early as 2028. … the first time in Germany, th…”
supportsCommercial operationStatusConnection point
[4]
Luxcara2025-08-25
“Luxcara has additionally reserved 19 turbines of the same type [15.5 MW SG 14-236 DD] … the neighboring Waterkant project (approximately 300 MW) … grid connection end of 2028.”
supportsCommercial operationTotal capacity
[6]
Luxcara2024
supportsowner
[7]
Luxcara2024
supportsDistance from shore
Auction pipeline1
[11]
Bundesnetzagentur2026◆ bnetza-noncentral-2027
BNetzA — 2026 non-central offshore tenders suspended; N-10.1/N-10.2/N-12.4/N-12.5/N-13.1/N-13.2 moved to tender year 2027.
supportsGermany offshore tender — 2027 (FEP cluster)
Trade press3
[8]
4C Offshore2026-07-02
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCoordinates
[9]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[10]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown
supportsTotal capacityWater depthDistance from shoreCoordinates