Nederwiek I-B

Name: Nederwiek I-B — offshore wind project record
Creator: Hafrok
License: https://hafrok.com/terms/

Northern part of Nederwiek I area. Originally combined with I-A as single 2 GW site, split September 2024.

Status

Early Developmentlifecycle stage

ProspectiveHafrok completion outlook

Ownership

—

Location

Netherlands

North Sea

Verification

11 sources · ◆ 6 documents held

◆verified≈modelled◇sourced·derived

open the source register →

Technology

Capacity 1,000 MW ◆

Turbines —

Foundation —

Site & conditions

Site rights State-designated State designation · Rijksoverheid (cabinet), Programma Noordzee 2022-2027 (Nationaal Water Programma) · 2022-03 ◆ Water depth 25–27 m ≈ Distance from shore 95 km ◆ Wind speed 10.1 m/s @ 150 m ≈

Revenue & grid

Offtake —

Grid No agreement ◆ Connection Shared TenneT offshore substation platform with Nederwiek I-A; … ◆

Schedule

FID Not taken

COD · announced 2031 ◇

COD · Hafrok 2034 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2034

expected year of commercial operation

The developer says 2031; Hafrok expects 2034 — 3 years later.

Chance of delivery

≈62% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation

Early Development projects complete ≈61% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.

COD outlook

If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)

How Hafrok got this date

No dated milestone yet

Nothing is consented or financed with a date, so the estimate starts from today (2026), adds the time similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took from consent to operation, plus an allowance for obtaining consent.

Earliest credible date

Typical consent-to-operation time plus allowances means commercial operation before 2034 is not credible.

Still needs an offtake award: NL-IJMUIDEN-VER-GAMMA-A

The project has no offtake contract yet. The next visible auction is around 2026 Q4; winners typically reach final investment decision about 2 years after an award (2028 Q4), then build time on top gives 2032 Q1. The milestone timing is already later than that, so it stands.

Result

Expected commercial operation 2034, likely range 2034–2042 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). With no milestone to build from, the earliest credible date is the estimate, with a deliberately wide range.

Year-by-year chart

The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.

Chance of delivery — separate from timing

Start from the share of Early Development projects that went on to complete — ≈61%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). About three in four early-stage projects with a final outcome went on to operate — a record from an easier era. Most of today's early pipeline is still unresolved, so the estimate discounts it. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈62%, which rates it Prospective on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline verified milestones only — each date carries its provenance mark

Dashed tick marks today (13 Oct 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD.

Announced COD: slipped so far +1.0 yr (first announced 2030) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above

Revenue & offtake route to market — open

No offtake secured — route to market open

No tender held. Nederwiek I-A produced zero bids Oct 2025; I-B tender postponed pending K13-A aviation safety resolution. ◇

The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.

Next visible round · from the auction calendar

Nederwiek I-B / II / III (bundled) ◇

expected — · planned · the round names this project

indicative

Installation how the build is going · from sourced statements and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started

Installation · on record

StageEarly Development

Offshore constructionnot started

Expected start of operation2031

Grid connection

from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers

Offshore platforms · 1

HVDC systemNederwiek 1·2000 MW · ±525 kV · ordered, expected 2030

Export & onshore

Export cableNederwiek 1 Export Cable·HVDC subsea · 217 km · Prysmian · ordered · to Sloegebied, Zeeland

Onshore connectionBorssele Converter Station (Nederwiek 1)·525 DC / 380 AC kV · under construction · also serves Nederwiek I-A

Converter supplierHitachi Energy·Nederwiek 1 · not yet named (originally Petrofac EPCI, now L&T) · for TenneT

Grid connection · ready in time?

when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives

installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved

Sources & verification

Rests on 11 sources (5 primary) · ◆ 6 documents held

◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived

Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.

Regulator4

[1]

RVO (Netherlands Enterprise Agency)2025-10◆ Permit for wind farm Nederwiek I-A | RVO…

"NW I-B will also be connected to the platform later. This means that two 1 GW wind farms will connect to one platform." Located approximately 95 km off the west coast of Texel in the North Sea. No ap…

supportsTotal capacityStatusConnection pointDistance from shore

source ↗

[5]

RVO (Netherlands Enterprise Agency)2026◆ RVO IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A tender opens 20…

“Only IJmuiden Ver Site Gamma-A included in the September 2026 tender. RVO notes "the Ministry of Climate Policy and Green Growth will decide whether to launch a second permit round for another one GW …”

supportsBackgroundStatus note

source ↗

[8]

RVO — Bureau Energieprojecten (energietransitie.nl)2026-08-23◆ Dutch Bureau Energieprojecten register (…

“Listing row "Wind op zee - Nederwiek (zuid) kavel I-B" (key wind-op-zee-nederwiek-zuid-kavel-i-b); offshore docket page text hash 32cfb1805f116176… (7198 chars). Listing row "Net op zee - Nederwiek 1"…”

supportsRegister entry

source ↗

[10]

Ministerie van Economische Zaken en Klimaat / RVO2022◆ Conceptnotitie reikwijdte en detailnivea…

“Het Programma Noordzee 2022-2027 is op 18 maart 2022 vastgesteld door het kabinet. [...] Om deze aanvullende ambitie te verwezenlijken zijn in het Programma Noordzee 2022-2027 drie nieuwe windenergieg…”

supportsSite rights

source ↗

Operator1

[9]

Rijksdienst voor Ondernemend Nederland (energietransitie.nl)2026-09-08◆ Wind op zee - Nederwiek (zuid) kavel I-B…

“Van vrijdag 17 juli tot en met donderdag 27 augustus 2026 lagen het ontwerp kavelbesluit en milieueffectrapport ter inzage. In die periode was het mogelijk om een zienswijze (reactie) in te dienen. De…”

supportsConsentConsent applied

source ↗

Auction pipeline1

[11]

RVO2026◆ rvo-roadmap-2026

RVO roadmap — Nederwiek I-B grouped with Nederwiek II + III after the I-A failure; no firm tender year.

supportsNederwiek I-B / II / III (bundled)

source ↗

Trade press5

[2]

Offshore Wind Biz2024-11-21

Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.