Morgan
Crown Estate Round 4. Combined Morgan and Mona capacity was 3GW. Turbine tip height up to 364m.
Status
On Holdlifecycle stage
FragileHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
JNJERA Nex bp — 50% ◇
EnBW — 50% ◇Location
United KingdomIrish Sea
Technology
Capacity
1,500 MW ◇
Turbines
96 × 15 MW ◇
Model
not yet named ◇
Foundation
Monopile ◇
Site & conditions
Site rights
State-designated State designation · The Crown Estate · 2026-07 ◆
Origination
Crown Estate Round 4 · 2021 ·
Water depth
25–45 m ◇
Distance from shore
30 km ◇
Wind speed
10.4 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
—
Grid
Applied ◆
Connection
Penwortham 400kV Substation ◆
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · announced
2031 ◇
COD · Hafrok
—
On hold since
Jan 2026 ◇
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
—
on hold — no credible date; the chart shows when a restarted project might complete
The developer's last guidance was 2031 · not treated as a schedule while the project is on hold
Chance of delivery
≈13%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Projects put on hold complete ≈15% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits below that: a very large build, technical complexity and no offtake contract yet. Only a restart would change that — there is no dated schedule to judge against.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2030 | 20.0% |
| 2031 | 20.0% |
| 2032 | 20.0% |
| 2033 | 20.0% |
| 2034 | 20.0% |
How Hafrok got this date
1
On hold — no dated schedule
The project is recorded as On Hold, so no sequence of milestones can be trusted. Hafrok publishes no expected year; the chart instead spreads the remaining chance of completion over the years a restarted project might finish in.
2
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of On Hold projects that went on to complete — ≈15%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Historically only a minority of projects put on hold returned to delivery — the estimate reflects that. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈13%, which rates it
Fragile on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record
Origination · 2021-02
Crown Estate Round 4
- Awarded to
- Consortium of EnBW and BP
- Basis
- seabed award
Founding JV · 2021-03
BP · EnBW — BP and EnBW formed a 50:50 joint venture in early 2021 to jointly develop two UK Round 4 offshore wind leases in the Irish Sea. The projects were named Morgan (1.5 GW) and Mona (1.5 GW) in July 2021. This was bp's entry into UK offshore wind. No cash consideration; pure JV formation. Morgan was subsequently discontinued in January 2026 after failing to secure CfD in AR7.
Evidence
From the auction results — the round that created the project; founding JV from Hafrok’s transactions record.
Withdrawal · 2026-01
JERA Nex bp / EnBW (Morgan Offshore Wind Limited) 100%
- Stake
- 100%
- Consideration
- not disclosed
- Announced
- 2026-01
- Project stage
- consented
The JERA Nex bp / EnBW joint venture discontinued Morgan in January 2026 after failing to secure a Contract for Difference in Allocation Round 7 and relinquished the Round 4 lease rights to The Crown Estate — no sale, no buyer. The sister Mona project went the other way (JERA Nex bp bought EnBW out). The Crown Estate announced a re-tender in June 2026 and launched it on 24 July 2026, aiming to appoint a new developer by the end of 2026.
Evidence
- offshoreWIND.biz — JERA Nex BP Acquires Full Ownership of Mona Offshore Wind Project from Partner EnBW, 1.5 GW Morgan Discontinued ↗ 2026-01 ◆ held
- The Crown Estate — The Crown Estate launches accelerated tender for Morgan offshore wind site ↗ 2026-07-24 ◆ held
From Hafrok’s transactions record
Dashed tick marks today (13 Oct 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Revenue & offtake route to market — open
No offtake secured — route to market open
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
CfD allocation round
The UK's principal route — a 15-year, CPI-indexed, two-sided CfD awarded in annual competitive rounds.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
CfD Allocation Round 8 ◇
AR8 confirmed (gov update, Mar 2026) to OPEN July 2026 — brought forward from the earlier mid/late-2026 expectation
Corporate PPA
Bilateral long-term offtake with corporate buyers; can cover part of output alongside or ahead of a CfD.
Merchant
Uncontracted sale into the wholesale market — no price floor, full exposure to power prices.
Installation how the build is going · from sourced statements and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
Installation · on record
StageOn Hold
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2031
Construction ports
PortBelfast Harbour D1 Terminal ∅·quay 500 m · crane 840 t · draft 10 m
Sources & verification
Rests on 13 sources (7 primary) · ◆ 9 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator4
[1]
Planning Inspectorate (PINS)2025-08-29◆ Morgan Offshore Wind Project: Generation…
“Morgan Offshore Wind Project: Generation Assets ... Applicant: Morgan Offshore Wind Limited ... Decision: Granted ... Date: 29 August 2025 ... Irish Sea, positioned 22.22 km from the Isle of Man and 3…”
supportsConsentConsent appliedConsent granted
[8]
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero2026-05-06◆ Renewable Energy Planning Database (REPD…
“REPD Q1 2026 quarterly extract — Ref ID 10919: Site Name "Morgan Offshore Wind Farm", Development Status "Awaiting Construction", Installed Capacity 1500 MWelec, Operator "BP Oil UK Limited / ENBW UK …”
supportsRegister entry
[11]
The Planning Inspectorate (PINS)2026-08-23◆ PINS national infrastructure application…
“Project reference EN010136: "Morgan Offshore Wind Project: Generation Assets"; applicant "Morgan Offshore Wind Limited"; Stage "Post-decision"; anticipated submission April 2024; applied 2024-04-24; a…”
supportsConsentConsent appliedConsent granted
[13]
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero / Planning Inspectorate2026-09-14◆ Morgan and Morecambe Offshore Wind Farms…
“The Morgan and Morecambe Offshore Wind Farms Transmission Assets DCO application has today been granted development consent by the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero ... The project comprises…”
supportsStatus note
Operator4
[6]
NESO2026-06-12◆ NESO Transmission Entry Capacity (TEC) R…
“Morgan Offshore Wind Farm,Morgan Offshore Wind Limited,Penwortham 400kV Substation,,0,1500,1500,30/11/2029,Scoping,Direct Connection,NGET,Wind Offshore,a1f4L000000EH8dQAG,PRO-001594,”
supportsStatusConnection point
[9]
National Energy System Operator (NESO)2026-07-21◆ NESO Transmission Entry Capacity (TEC) R…
“NESO TEC Register, edition 21 July 2026 - PRO-001594: "Morgan Offshore Wind Farm", Status "Scoping", MW Connected 0, Effective From 2029-11-30, Customer "Morgan Offshore Wind Limited"”
supportsRegister entry
[12]
The Crown Estate2026-07-24◆ The Crown Estate launches accelerated te…
“The Crown Estate has today launched a competitive tender process to secure a new developer to build and operate the up to 1.5GW Morgan wind farm in the Irish Sea. Following the previous developer's de…”
supportsSite rights
[14]
Auction pipeline1
[15]
DESNZ (gov.uk)2026◆ govuk-cfd-ar8
gov.uk AR8 collection — Allocation Framework, statutory framework and CIB documents published ahead of the round.
supportsCfD Allocation Round 8
Trade press4
[2]
Offshore Wind Biz2025-09-03
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTurbinesTotal capacityFoundation
[3]
Offshore Wind Biz2026-01-19◆ JERA Nex BP Acquires Full Ownership of M…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsoperatorpartnerCommercial operationOn hold
[5]
NS Energy Business
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsModelUnit capacityWater depthDistance from shoreCoordinates
[7]