Revolution Wind

Located ~32 km southeast of Point Judith, Rhode Island and ~52 km southeast of New London, CT. First multi-state offshore wind project in the US.

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2026
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈98% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; a market with a thinner delivery record, its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
20%40%60%80%100% 2025: 1.3% (conditional on completion) 2026: 75.4% (conditional on completion) 2027: 21.7% (conditional on completion) 2028: 1.6% (conditional on completion)2023202420252026now75%20272028 Developer-announced COD: 2026 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2026developer cod guidance2018-12-20: the developer guided 2023 — source [3] — click for it2018-122023 [3]2023-11-01: the developer guided 2025 — source [19] — click for it2023-112025 [19]2024-08-15: the developer guided 2026 — source [20] — click for it2024-082026 [20]2025-Q1 → 2026-05: the developer guided 2026-H2 in 5 statements — sources [22] [4] [28] [9] [13] — click for the sources2026-052026-H2 · held since 2025-Q1 (×5) [22,4,28,9,13]
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
20251.3%
2026 (expected)75.4%
202721.7%
20281.6%
Developer COD guidance, by the date it was stated
StatedAnnounced COD
2018-12-202023
2023-11-012025
2024-08-152026
2026-052026-H2 (held since 2025-Q1, 5 statements)
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2024. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2026 Q3; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2025 Q3, the slower quarter not until 2027 Q1.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2026, likely range 2026–2027 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈98%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2014’15’16’17’18’19’20’21’22’23’24’25’26BOEM Lease Sale 2 — awarded to Deepwater Wind New England, LLCBOEM Lease Sale 2 Jul 2013 · auction recordView the sources for Consent appliedConsent applied 13 Mar 2020 ◆View the sources for Onshore constructionOnshore construction 2023 ◆View the source for Final investment decisionFinal investment decision Nov 2023 ◆View the sources for Consent grantedConsent granted 17 Nov 2023 ◆View the sources for Offshore constructionOffshore construction May 2024 ◆View the source for First powerFirst power 14 Mar 2026 ◆Commercial operation 2026 ·Hafrok expectedBOEM Lease Sale 2 — awarded to Deepwater Wind New England, LLC 2013-07 ORIGINATIONDeepwater Wind (D.E. Shaw Group) → Ørsted — 100.0% · closed 2018-11 2018-10 CORPORATEØrsted → Eversource — 50.0% · closed 2019-Q2 2019-02 FARMDOWNEversource → GIP (Skyborn Renewables) — 50.0% · closed 2024-09 2024-02 ACQUISITIONTODAYDeepwater Wind (D.E. Shaw Group) Deepwater Wind New Engl… Deepwater Wind New Engl… exited 2018-10Ørsted — 50% today · operator Ørsted Ørsted 50%Eversource Eversource Eversource exited 2024-02Skyborn Renewables (GIP) — 50% today · co-owner Skyborn Renewables Skyborn Renewables 50%BOEM Lease Sale 2 — awarded to Deepwater Wind New England, LLC Deepwater Wind (D.E. Shaw Group) → Ørsted — 100.0% · closed 2018-11 100%Ørsted → Eversource — 50.0% · closed 2019-Q2 50%Eversource → GIP (Skyborn Renewables) — 50.0% · closed 2024-09 50%
Dashed tick marks today (13 Oct 2026). The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: slipped so far +3.2 yr (first announced 2023) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above

Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day

704 MW contracted — utility PPA
● Utility PPA · Connecticut Offshore Wind Procurement (Revolution Wind; PA 17-144 Clean Energy RFP 200 MW + PA 17-3 Zero-Carbon RFP ~100 MW)
Price$99.5/MWh ·Capacity304 MWAwarded2018
● Utility PPA · Rhode Island Offshore Wind Procurement (2018, National Grid)
Price$98.4/MWh ·Capacity400 MWAwarded2018

Installation how the build is going · from sourced statements and Hafrok’s registers

Installation under way
Installation · on record
StageUnder Construction
Offshore constructionstarted 2024-05
Turbinesnot reportedshown when the developer reports a dated count
Expected start of operation2026-H2
Construction ports
PortPort of New London ◆marshalling
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 2
Offshore substationRevolution Wind Offshore Substation 1 (OSS)·owner Revolution Wind, LLC (Ørsted 50% / Skyborn Renewables (GIP) 50%)
Offshore substationRevolution Wind Offshore Substation 2 (OSS)·owner Revolution Wind, LLC (Ørsted 50% / Skyborn Renewables (GIP) 50%)
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
20252026Hafrok expects the farm to start in 2026developer’s stated start 2026-H2nowRevolution Wind Offshore Substation 1 (OSS)Revolution Wind Offshore Substati…platform installed 2025platform installed 2025Revolution Wind Offshore Substation 2 (OSS)Revolution Wind Offshore Substati…platform installed 2025-Q3platform installed 2025-Q3

Sources & verification

Rests on 19 sources (23 primary) · ◆ 16 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator3
[1]
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (joint BOEM/NMFS/USACE)2023-08-21◆ Revolution Wind Record of Decision (OCS-…
“The Proposed Action will construct and install, operate, maintain, and include the eventual decommissioning of a wind energy facility within the Project Design Envelope (PDE) and implementation of app…”
supportsConsentTotal capacityStatusConnection pointConsent applied+1 more
[2]
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management2023-11-17◆ Revolution Wind COP approval letter
“On Nov. 17, 2023, the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) approved the Construction and Operations Plan (COP), as modified by the selected alternative in the Record of Decision, for the Revolutio…”
supportsConsentConsent appliedConsent granted
[32]
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)2026-08-23◆ US BOEM offshore-wind register (FR docum…
“Lease row OCS-A 0486: companies ['Revolution Wind, LLC']; lease_dates ['10/01/2013']; lease_terms ['25 Years']; states ['Rhode Island / Massachusetts']; block_count 174.”
supportsRegister entry
Operator9
[3]
Ørsted2018-12◆ Connecticut Regulators Approve Revolutio…
“Connecticut's Public Utilities Regulatory Authority today approved Ørsted's long-term power-purchase agreement with Eversource and United Illuminating, two Connecticut utilities, for the 200 megawatts…”
supportsMechanismDetailmarshalling
[4]
Ørsted2025-08-22◆ Revolution Wind receives offshore stop-w…
“On 22 August 2025, Ørsted's subsidiary Revolution Wind LLC, a 50/50 joint venture with Global Infrastructure Partner's Skyborn Renewables, received an order instructing the project to stop activities …”
supportsTurbinesFoundation
[5]
Ørsted2025-12-22◆ Revolution Wind and Sunrise Wind receive…
“On 22 December 2025, Revolution Wind LLC, a 50/50 joint venture with Global Infrastructure Partners' Skyborn Renewables, and Sunrise Wind LLC, a fully-owned subsidiary, received orders from the U.S. D…”
supportsoperatorco-owner
[6]
Ørsted2026-01-02◆ Revolution Wind LLC to file Preliminary …
“The Project, now approximately 87 percent complete, has already installed all offshore foundations and 58 of 65 wind turbines. Export cable installation is complete, and both offshore substations have…”
supportsStatusConnection pointmarshalling
[7]
Ørsted2026-03-14◆ Revolution Wind begins delivering power …
“Revolution Wind, LLC, a 50/50 joint venture between Global Infrastructure Partners' Skyborn Renewables and Ørsted, announced today that the Revolution Wind project has started delivering power to New …”
supportsFirst power
[8]
Ørsted2024-02◆ Ørsted Annual Report 2023
“In the US, we took FID on the 704 MW Revolution Wind project, which we own in a 50/50 partnership with Eversource Energy. Onshore construction has started, and offshore construction will start in 2024…”
supportsFinal investment decisionOnshore constructionOffshore construction
[13]
Ørsted2026-05◆ Ørsted IR presentation Q1 2026
“Revolution Wind. Location US. Capacity 704 MW. Offtake contract: Nominal offtake with state of Rhode Island and Connecticut. Commercial operation date H2 2026. Degree of completion ~94 %, up from 87 %…”
supportsCommercial operationCOD historyTurbinesModelUnit capacity
[29]
Ørsted2026-Q2◆ Orsted — orsted q2 2026 ir presentation
“Borkum Riffgrund 3 Changhua 2b and 4 Revolution Wind Sunrise Wind Baltica 2 Hornsea 3 / BESS Capacity1 913 MW 920 MW 704 MW 924 MW 1,498 MW 2,852 MW / 300 MW COD Q3 2026 Q3 2026 H2 2026 H2 2027 H2 20…”
supportsBackground
[34]
Revolution Wind (Ørsted / Eversource)2024-05-15◆ Revolution Wind Achieves First Steel in …
“RHODE ISLAND / CONNECTICUT – MAY 15, 2024 – Revolution Wind has achieved its “steel in the water” milestone with the installation of the project’s first turbine foundation, a momentous milestone for R…”
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore construction
Auction results2
[35]
Connecticut General Assembly2017◆ us-ct-pa-17-144
Connecticut Public Act 17-144 - the procurement authority for the 2018 Revolution Wind selection.
supportsUtility PPA · Connecticut Offshore Wind Procurement (Revolution Wind; PA 17-144 Clean Energy RFP 200 MW + PA 17-3 Zero-Carbon RFP ~100 MW)
[36]
Wikipedia (citing RI PUC docket)2024◆ ri-rev-2018-puc
The RI PPA secures 400 MW over 20 years; National Grid pays 9.84 c/kWh. (Wikipedia citing the RI PUC docket; price not re-verified against the primary order.)
supportsUtility PPA · Rhode Island Offshore Wind Procurement (2018, National Grid)
Record source1
[37]
offshore-energy.biz / offshoreWIND.biz2026-04-17◆ oe-sunrise-first-turbine-2026-04
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsWind Scylla — turbine installation
Trade press4
[14]
Global Energy Monitor2026-07-02
supportsCoordinates
[15]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[18]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
[28]
Ørsted A/S2025-Q3◆ Ørsted Q3 2025 earnings call transcript
“First power is expected during the first half of 2026, and the project remains on track for commissioning in the second half of 2026.”
supportsCommercial operation