Fengmiao 1 (Taichung)

Located ~35 km off Taichung coast. CIP's first Round 3 project in Taiwan. Annual generation ~1.8 TWh expected.

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2027
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈98% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; technical complexity pulls a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2026: 1.3% (conditional on completion) 2027: 75.4% (conditional on completion) 2028: 21.7% (conditional on completion) 2029: 1.6% (conditional on completion)2026now202775%20282029 Developer-announced COD: 2027 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2027
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
20261.3%
2027 (expected)75.4%
202821.7%
20291.6%
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2025. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2026 Q3; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2025 Q4, the slower quarter not until 2027 Q3.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2027, likely range 2026–2028 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈98%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2023’24’25’26’27Developer-announced COD: 2027 announced COD 2027Taiwan Round 3 Zonal Development — Block 3.1 (區塊開發 3-1) — awarded to Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP)Taiwan Round 3 Zonal Development — Block 3.1 (區塊開發 3-1) Dec 2022 · auction recordView the source for Final investment decisionFinal investment decision 19 Mar 2025 ◇View the source for Onshore constructionOnshore construction 20 Aug 2025 ◇View the source for Offshore constructionOffshore construction 2026-Q1 ◇Commercial operation 2027 ·Hafrok expectedTaiwan Round 3 Zonal Development — Block 3.1 (區塊開發 3-1) — awarded to Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP) 2022-12 ORIGINATIONCIP → MOL (Mitsui OSK Lines) — 10.0% · €153m 2025-05 FARMDOWNTODAYCopenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CI V) — 100% today · operator CIP CIP 100%MOL (Mitsui OSK Lines) MOL MOL exited 2025-05Taiwan Round 3 Zonal Development — Block 3.1 (區塊開發 3-1) — awarded to Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP) CIP → MOL (Mitsui OSK Lines) — 10.0% · €153m 10%
Dashed tick marks today (13 Oct 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.

Revenue & offtake the regime the project was built under

Offtake regime on record
A built project sells its power under the contract or support regime it was financed with; it is not expected to bid into new government offtake rounds. Where the record does not yet name that regime, the row says so rather than guessing.

Installation how the build is going · from sourced statements and Hafrok’s registers

Installation under way
Installation · on record
StageUnder Construction
Offshore constructionstarted 2026-Q1
Turbinesnot reportedshown when the developer reports a dated count
Expected start of operation2027

Sources & verification

Rests on 10 sources (2 primary) · ◆ 7 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Operator1
[11]
Mitsui O.S.K. Lines2025-05-09◆ MOL to Join Offshore Wind Power Project …
“MOL ... has agreed to acquire a 10% stake in CI Fengmiao Ltd from Copenhagen Infrastructure Partner P/S (CIP) ... CI Fengmiao is a 100% shareholder of Feng Miao Offshore Wind Farm, that CIP is develop…”
supportsoperator
Financier1
[6]
Credit Agricole CIB2025-03◆ Financing the first Round 3.1 offshore w…
“This is also the first-ever offshore wind project in Taiwan to be supported by multiple corporate offtakers under power purchase agreements. [...] awarded grid capacity in Taiwan's Round 3.1 auction.”
supportsStatusConnection point
Trade press7
[2]
offshoreWIND.biz2022-12◆ Taiwan awards Round 3.1 offshore wind ca…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacity
[3]
GlobeNewswire (CIP press release)2025-03-19◆ Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners reach…
“Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP), through its fund Copenhagen Infrastructure V (CI V), has reached financial close on the 495MW Fengmiao I offshore wind project off the coast of Taichung, Taiw…”
supportsFinal investment decisionCommercial operationTotal capacityMechanismDetail
[5]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-08-21◆ CIP Breaks Ground on Fengmiao Onshore Su…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore constructionTurbinesModelUnit capacity
[7]
Power Technology2025
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacityFoundationWater depthDistance from shore
[8]
GEM2026
supportsCoordinates
[9]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
[12]
Jan De Nul2026-08-05◆ Export cables fengmiao i offshore wind f…
“This month, we successfully completed the installation of two subsea high-voltage export cables for the Fengmiao I offshore wind farm in Taiwan.”
supportsStatus note
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown◆ Financing the first Round 3.1 offshore w…
supportsTotal capacityFoundationWater depthDistance from shoreCoordinates