Moray West

Located in the Outer Moray Firth. First project to use SG 14-222 DD turbines in Scotland.

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2026
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈98% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
20%40%60%80%100% 2025: 1.3% (conditional on completion) 2026: 75.4% (conditional on completion) 2027: 21.7% (conditional on completion) 2028: 1.6% (conditional on completion)20252026now75%20272028 Developer-announced COD: 2026 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2026developer cod guidance2023-04-21: the developer guided 2025 — source [4] — click for it2023-042025 [4]2025-04-24: the developer guided 2025-04 — source [7] — click for it2025-042025-04 [7]2026-10-08: the developer guided 2026 — source [19] — click for it2026-102026 [19]
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
20251.3%
2026 (expected)75.4%
202721.7%
20281.6%
Developer COD guidance, by the date it was stated
StatedAnnounced COD
2023-04-212025
2025-04-242025-04
2026-10-082026
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2022. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2023 Q3; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2022 Q4, the slower quarter not until 2024 Q3. Dates already in the past are moved up to today — this project has run beyond the typical timing.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2026, likely range 2025–2027 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈98%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2010’11’12’13’14’15’16’17’18’19’20’21’22’23’24’25’26Developer-announced COD: 2026 announced COD 2026Crown Estate Round 3 — awarded to Moray Offshore Renewables (EDPR 75% + SeaEnergy 25%)Crown Estate Round 3 Jan 2010 · auction recordView the source for Consent grantedConsent granted 14 Jun 2019 ◆View the sources for Onshore constructionOnshore construction Feb 2022 ◆View the source for Final investment decisionFinal investment decision 2023 ◆View the sources for Offshore constructionOffshore construction Oct 2023 ◆View the source for First powerFirst power 2024-Q3 ◆Commercial operation 2026 ·Hafrok expectedCrown Estate Round 3 — awarded to Moray Offshore Renewables (EDPR 75% + SeaEnergy 25%) 2010-01 ORIGINATIONTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDOcean Winds (EDP Renewables / Engie) → Ignitis Renewables — 5% 2020-09 FARMDOWNTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDTODAYMoray Offshore Renewables (EDPR 75% + SeaEnergy 25%) Moray Offshore Renewabl… Moray Offshore Renewabl… not among today’s recorded owners — no sale recordedOcean Winds — 95% today · operator Ocean Winds Ocean Winds 95%Ignitis Renewables Ignitis Renewables Ignitis Renewables exited 2020-09Ignitis Group — 5% today Ignitis Group Ignitis Group 5%Crown Estate Round 3 — awarded to Moray Offshore Renewables (EDPR 75% + SeaEnergy 25%) Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. Ocean Winds (EDP Renewables / Engie) → Ignitis Renewables — 5% 5%Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed.
Dashed tick marks today (13 Oct 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: slipped so far +1.0 yr (first announced 2025) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above

Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day

CfD-backed — 2 allocation rounds
● CfD · AR4
Price£37.35/MWh ·
Basis2012 real · CPI-indexed
Capacity294 MWAwardedJul 2022
Term15 yrs · delivery 2026/27
● CfD · AR6
Price£54.23/MWh ·
Basis2012 real · CPI-indexed
Capacity73.5 MWAwardedSep 2024
Term15 yrs · delivery 2027/28
Money-of-the-day values computed by Hafrok from the United Kingdom CPI index, 2012 real base — actual to 2026-08, then an assumed +2.0%/yr (central-bank target). Cfd terms run 15 years from start of generation in the contracted delivery year.
Contract price over time · £/MWh
solid = actual CPI indexation · dashed = assumed +2.0%/yr
CfD · AR4CfD · AR6
255075100125nowCfD · AR4 — £37.35/MWh · 2012 real · CPI-indexedCfD · AR4 — £37.35/MWh · 2012 real · CPI-indexed · assumed indexationCfD · AR6 — £54.23/MWh · 2012 real · CPI-indexedCfD · AR6 — £54.23/MWh · 2012 real · CPI-indexed · assumed indexationCfD · AR4 term · 15 yrsCfD · AR6 term · 15 yrs20222025202820312034203720402043CfD · AR4 — £37.35/MWh · 2012 real · CPI-indexed — 47.3 at award55.1 nowCfD · AR6 — £54.23/MWh · 2012 real · CPI-indexed — 75.6 at award80.0 now

Installation how the build is going · from sourced statements and Hafrok’s registers

Installation under way
Installation · on record
StageUnder Construction
Offshore constructionstarted 2023-10
Turbinesnot reportedshown when the developer reports a dated count
Expected start of operation2026
Construction ports
PortPort of Nigg ◆Marshalling of all 62 foundation transition pieces; turbine marshalling and pre-assembly (Siemens Gamesa); fabrication of J-tube frames
PortPort of Cromarty Firth (Invergordon) ◆Monopile deployment
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 1
Offshore substationMoray West offshore transformer modules (2, described collectively)·in service 2024 · owner Ocean Winds
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
202420252026Hafrok expects the farm to start in 2026developer’s stated start 2026nowMoray West offshore transformer modules (2, described collectively)Moray West offshore transformer m…in service 2024in service 2024

Sources & verification

Rests on 19 sources (15 primary) · ◆ 15 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator7
[1]
Marine Scotland (Scottish Government Marine Directorate)2019-06-14◆ Moray West S.36 Consent Decision Notice …
“This decision notice contains the Scottish Ministers’ decision to grant consent for the Development detailed above, in accordance with regulation 21 of the 2017 EW regulations.”
supportsConsentConsent granted
[2]
Marine Scotland (Scottish Government Marine Directorate)2022-05-10◆ Moray West Development Specification and…
supportsTurbinesModelUnit capacityTotal capacityFoundation+3 more
[3]
UK Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS)2022-07-07◆ Contracts for Difference (CfD) Allocatio…
supportsMechanismDetail
[14]
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero2026-05-06◆ Renewable Energy Planning Database (REPD…
“REPD Q1 2026 quarterly extract — Ref ID 6158: Site Name "Moray West Offshore Wind Farm Project", Development Status "Under Construction", Installed Capacity 882 MWelec, Operator "EDPR"”
supportsRegister entry
[16]
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero2026-08-03◆ Renewable Energy Planning Database (REPD…
“REPD Q2 2026 quarterly extract — Ref ID 6158: Site Name "Moray West Offshore Wind Farm Project", Development Status "Operational", Installed Capacity 882 MWelec, Operator "EDPR", Record Last Updated 1…”
supportsRegister entry
[18]
Scottish Government Marine Directorate (MD-LOT)2026-08-23◆ Scottish MD-LOT marine projects register…
“Register row "Moray West Offshore Windfarm" (key ml/moray-west-offshore-windfarm): Application stage "Post-consent", type "Renewables - Wind".”
supportsRegister entry
[19]
Companies House2026-02◆ Moray Offshore Windfarm (West) Limited -…
"The Company has not yet declared start of commercial operations under a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with an offtaker and thus missed a corresponding contractual milestone of September 30, 2025." .…
supportsCommercial operationCOD historyMechanismDetail
Operator5
[6]
EDP2024-07-03
“Wednesday 3, July 2024 ... The injection of the first power from the Moray West project ... has been successfully achieved. The 882MW wind farm ... 60 turbines of 14.7 MW/unit. ... The injection of th…”
supportsFirst power
[10]
Ocean Winds2025◆ Moray West - Ocean Winds
supportsoperatorowner
[15]
National Energy System Operator (NESO)2026-07-21◆ NESO Transmission Entry Capacity (TEC) R…
“NESO TEC Register, edition 21 July 2026 - PRO-001130: "Moray West Offshore Windfarm", Status "Built", MW Connected 860, Effective From n/a, Customer "MORAY OFFSHORE WINDFARM (WEST) LIMITED"”
supportsRegister entry
[17]
Ocean Winds2023-09-06◆ Moray west offshore wind farm selects po…
“The Port of Nigg in the Cromarty Firth, Scotland, owned and operated by Global Energy Group (GEG), has been selected by Moray West as the location for marshalling of all 62 transition pieces (TPs) pri…”
supportsMarshalling of all 62 foundation transition pieces; turbine marshalling and pre-assembly (Siemens Gamesa); fabrication of J-tube framesMonopile deployment
[20]
Low Carbon Contracts Company (LCCC)2026-09-30◆ CfD Contract Portfolio Status - per-cont…
“AR4-MRY-010, "Moray West Offshore Wind Farm", Allocation Round 4: Status "Pre-Start Date", Expected_Start_Date 2027-03-31, Maximum_Contract_Capacity_MW 220.500. AR6-MOW-010, "Moray Offshore Windfarm (…”
supportsCommercial operationMechanismDetail
Financier1
[4]
Ignitis Group2023-04-21◆ Financial close achieved for Moray West …
“Ocean Winds ... and by Ignitis Renewables as a minority shareholder of 5 percent. ... reached financial close. (21 April 2023) ... secured £2bn of non-recourse project finance and reached financial cl…”
supportsFinal investment decision
Auction results2
[21]
BEIS (gov.uk)2022-07◆ cfd-ar4-results-2022
Offshore Wind (Pot 3) cleared GBP 37.35, delivery 2026/27: Inch Cape Phase 1 1,080.00 MW; EA3 Phase 1 1,372.34 MW; Norfolk Boreas Phase 1 1,396.00 MW; Hornsea Project Three 2,852.00 MW; Moray West 294…
supportsCfD · AR4
[22]
DESNZ (gov.uk)2024-09◆ cfd-ar6-results-2024
New offshore wind (Pot 3) GBP 58.87, 2028/29: Hornsea Project Four 2,400.00 MW; East Anglia Two Phase 1 963.07 MW. Offshore Wind Permitted Reduction GBP 54.23, 2027/28: Inch Cape A 177.41 / B 88.70 MW…
supportsCfD · AR6
Trade press4
[7]
Offshore Wind Scotland2025-04-24◆ Moray West becomes fully operational | O…
“The Moray West offshore wind farm reached full power and was officially switched on (24/04/2025). The Port of Nigg dealt with the turbines and the monopiles were deployed from the Port of Cromarty Fir…”
supportsStatusConnection pointMarshalling of all 62 foundation transition pieces; turbine marshalling and pre-assembly (Siemens Gamesa); fabrication of J-tube framesMonopile deployment
[11]
Power Technology (GlobalData)2022-07-19
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore construction
[12]
offshoreWIND.biz2023-10-05
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore construction
[13]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed